I managed to stay off Twitter all night. We sort of pre-wrote our "Trump wins" piece on Oct. 20, so linking to it here, I think one thesis we really got right this cycle is this was a difficult ...
Is Donald Trump going to lose Iowa? That’s the conclusion many US pundits came to after a bombshell poll over the weekend.
Trump and Harris are polling within single digits of each other in key states like Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan and ...
The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts ...
Nate Silver abruptly abandoned his prediction model just before 10:30pm Eastern time on Tuesday, posting on his Substack that ...
Nate Silver’s model continued to show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in potentially being elected president, even as the ...
His model was predicting a different outcome than The New York Times’ model, which was heavily leaning in favor of a Donald ...
Silver, one of the most well-respected statisticians in politics, has the race as too close to call. And the final polling ...
Some of them are easy, some are hard, and some are so obscure that even Nate Silver would struggle to figure out the ...
Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald ...
CRYPTO LOOKING FOR A LIFTCrypto is hoping for an post-election lift, because it’s been an ugly year for most major crypto ...